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Fidelity getting nervous about equities
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Andrew1952
Posted: 17 September 2024 17:29:17(UTC)
#1

Joined: 06/07/2019(UTC)
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They are projecting a 55% chance of a soft landing.

https://www.trustnet.com...-to-neutral-on-equities

Andrew
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3 users thanked Andrew1952 for this post.
Johan De Silva on 17/09/2024(UTC), Sheerman on 19/09/2024(UTC), Tim D on 22/09/2024(UTC)
Newbie
Posted: 17 September 2024 18:09:29(UTC)
#2

Joined: 31/01/2012(UTC)
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I am hedging as alluded to in earlier post in Transactions.

Moving away from mainstream energy, and some REIT's after a general goodish run.

Also generally consolidating positions with fewer satellites into the areas of Quality / Value / Income (whilst many here are going active I am looking at trackers in this consolidation exercise. the existing actives like FCIT, BUT, BNKRS etc will stay, it is the selling out of niche holdings that will be put into the trackers as sentiment is likely to rock the boat with the recent euphoria along with the monies from Covid some of which I believe is still in the markets.)

Overall have started to attempt at segmenting long and short equities (long being things likes Tech, Semi-conductors, and short being the likes of staples, utilities etc)

New monies going into Healthcare, Financials, Consumer Staples.
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2 users thanked Newbie for this post.
Jay P on 17/09/2024(UTC), stephen_s on 17/09/2024(UTC)
Johan De Silva
Posted: 17 September 2024 18:26:01(UTC)
#3

Joined: 22/07/2019(UTC)
Posts: 4,418
For the past year and half I attempted to segment my ISA to account for

1. Defensives (Recession or/and Rate Cuts) 50%
2. Commodity producers (Inflation) 0%
3. Equity Public and Private (Soft Landing Growth) 30%
4. Cash Rich Financials (Higher for longer rates, stagflation) 20%

It's all equities and infrastructure, as I see no need for gold or bonds. Commodity producers had been sold in the ISA as the example here. This is not suitable for someone investing for the long run.

This is an interesting table and never heard of reflation as something that happens.
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Thrugelmir
Posted: 17 September 2024 20:09:10(UTC)
#4

Joined: 01/06/2012(UTC)
Posts: 5,329
Andrew1952;319350 wrote:
They are projecting a 55% chance of a soft landing.





30% possibility of recession.

Nothing unsettles equity markets more than uncertainty.
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You have to change your life
Posted: 19 September 2024 16:18:40(UTC)
#5

Joined: 17/11/2021(UTC)
Posts: 2,194
Great timing.
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