Evies Dad;332210 wrote:
We need to remember that 2022 was the worst bond crash for a century, so one would hope the volatility of VLS40 would be better going forward.
There does appear to be some recent improvement (reduction) in the volatility of VLS 40%
I've looked at the standard deviation of 5 year annualised performance on a rolling 36 month basis to get a sense of the trend.
This number peaked at 2.1% in October 2023 and is now back down to 2017-2021 levels of 0.7% - 0.9%.
But the patterns are exactly the same for VLS 80%, peaking at 2.2% in October 2023 and back now to 1% - actually this is the lowest it's ever been.
Totally accept the feedback that all my numbers are backward looking of course and, as xxd09 says, it's for each of us to gauge our behavioural tolerances
However, the data is suggesting to me that "your age in bonds" could be very expensive insurance
So my plan is to carefully lift my equity% with age ...........