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Politics and Economics-2017 Election
Prof Eman
Posted: 31 May 2017 22:34:27(UTC)
#45

Joined: 08/04/2010(UTC)
Posts: 480

King Lodos at #37, last paragraph. the anti Polish/East European sentiment.
Run this past my students and here are some of the points made.
Indeed they learn the language, work hard, contribute to GDP, pay more taxes than UK personnel, claim less benefits. I know of one Polish immigrant student who now has a Masters.
He also pointed out something I was not aware of.
He advised that doctors from Poland hold regular surgeries in Manchester, based on many specialisms, for Polish immigrants who very often have follow up treatment/operations in Poland. This is their alternative to private medicine in the UK. Effectively what that means is they use the NHS much less than Brits, thereby reducing demands on it.
Also it has been pointed out to me that there are jobs that the Brits will not go anywhere near to, and these are the ones which attract Polish immigrant labour, hence the job adverts in Polish, like for example in the food industry. Would you like to work ripping up chickens or turkeys all day long?
King Lodos
Posted: 01 June 2017 01:10:59(UTC)
#46

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Prof Eman;47397 wrote:
Would you like to work ripping up chickens or turkeys all day long?


Yes.

Anyone would if they were earning the equivalent that Poles earn here (saying that as someone who supports Eastern European immigration, and voted Remain).

Homeownership has become a distant dream for our youth – while many Eastern Europeans can work here for 3 years, then get on the property ladder back home, while supporting a wife and kids.

In Pakistan for example the average annual wage is about £1,100 .. Here, if they can earn £11,000 doing menial work, it's roughly equivalent to us going overseas and making £260,000 salary picking strawberries.

One of the narratives our liberal media sells us, which I completely bought into, is that we're a nation of lazy slobs .. Having experienced a little more of the world, I don't believe that for a second .. I think motivation has simple psychological components – and it's easy to see why our youth aren't enthusiastic about factory work .. And the other aspect is that employers over here can push substandard working conditions and terms on these employees.

9 users thanked King Lodos for this post.
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Tug Boat
Posted: 01 June 2017 08:18:10(UTC)
#47

Joined: 16/12/2014(UTC)
Posts: 2,024

KL, you are straying into the arena of bull again. I don't know why you do this as it taints the rest of your posts.

My Eastern European friends were in a rut earning low wages, sending money home and living in squalor. They could never get on the housing ladder back home.

The Pakistani comparison is simply a numeric one. Money does not work like that and you know it. The difference between £1100 and £11000 is no where near that of £26000 and £260000.

Mostly Agree with your last point
Ivor Grouse
Posted: 01 June 2017 10:46:45(UTC)
#48

Joined: 05/09/2016(UTC)
Posts: 26

Tug Boat;47404 wrote:
...............My Eastern European friends were in a rut earning low wages, sending money home and living in squalor. They could never get on the housing ladder back home.......


More squalor = more money sent home?

sandid3
Posted: 01 June 2017 10:56:32(UTC)
#49

Joined: 18/02/2013(UTC)
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Immigration is one of those neoliberal ideas like deregulation that sounds OK as a top-down economic model but fails in practice when it is taken too far. Excessive deregulation led to the global financial crisis and excessive immigration has led to this global political crisis.

When things go wrong there are only two explanations: the cock-up theory and the conspiracy theory. It's always best to start by assuming the conspiracy theory and I think that's the case with deregulation and immigration.

Charlie Monger's saying is 'show me the incentive, I'll show you the outcome'. The incentive has been for the political and financial elites to get rich from excessive immigration through keeping down wages and pumping up property prices. The outcomes aren't an unfortunate side-effect of excessive immigration; they are the objective.
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Prof Eman
Posted: 01 June 2017 12:37:54(UTC)
#50

Joined: 08/04/2010(UTC)
Posts: 480

Some very interesting points made on immigration.
Here are some of the student responses.
In an ideal world supply of labour would equal demand, in all categories.
Impossible to achieve in a real world, particularly as we are dealing with a dynamic situation where demand and supply vary from day to day.
In fact the immigrants are at the more variable end being geographically mobile, thus helping to equate supply and demand.
So this together with some of other other points made already mean they are very positive/desirable contributors to our economy. The fact that they gain something by working here should not be seen as a sin.
Things can be seen to be going wrong where unemployment is consistently high as in a recession. This has not been the case in the recent UK, and we were doing very nicely. Immigration as such was not much of a problem.
So now we are not in a recession, as yet, except for Brexit which seems to be taking us that way, Growth down, migration levels down (without the need for controls), house prices down, the realities of Brexit are unraveling.
Brexit and Conservative UKIP based immigration policies appears to be taking us the wrong way.
Guest
Posted: 01 June 2017 15:11:13(UTC)
#52

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Prof Eman;47413 wrote:
...Growth down, migration levels down (without the need for controls), house prices down, the realities of Brexit are unraveling.
Brexit and Conservative UKIP based immigration policies appears to be taking us the wrong way.

Surely a very short period of downward house prices (3 months), a fall in immigration which is still at historically high levels and 'realities unravelling' are not very good reasons to conclude Brexit and immigration policies are taking us the wrong way.


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King Lodos
Posted: 01 June 2017 17:00:47(UTC)
#51

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Prof Eman;47413 wrote:
So this together with some of other other points made already mean they are very positive/desirable contributors to our economy. The fact that they gain something by working here should not be seen as a sin.


I think then the question becomes: Is a government's primary responsibility to its people, or to its economy?

Obviously if there's a bell curve distribution of employable skills – and competition for jobs is now increasingly global – then the bottom quadrant of that curve, in the top quadrant of global costs of living, are in a dire situation.

At this point we usually start talking about universal basic income – but what are the long-term social effects of our traditional working classes not having any prospect of work? It's difficult to be mentally healthy without a routine and sense of purpose .. The split between those who benefit from globalism, and those annexed into sinkhole estates, with multiple generations who've never worked, is what I'd call the dark side of Capitalism .. Which is why the likes of George Soros invest $billions into maintaining it (largely targeting future voters and CEOs: liberal college students).
jvl
Posted: 01 June 2017 18:23:42(UTC)
#38

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King Lodos;47382 wrote:

I never understood anti-Polish and E.European sentiment .. These are people who share our values (perhaps uphold them better than most of us do), learn the language, work hard .. I never understood how anyone saw them as a problem, until I walked past a job centre advertising jobs in Polish .. This is families, generations and estates being left on the scrapheap, and they know it.


I've always instinctively liked the Poles too (must be linked to growing up on WW2 movies and playing 'Escape from Colditz' - they were on our side). I'm not as concerned about them as other groups of immigrants.

However, even though I'm not (I think!) on the scrapheap, I have noticed simply from walking around and picking up my kids from nursery that I seem to be in a minority for having an English accent. The majority of parents picking up their kids are East European. Some are grandmothers picking up their grand-kids.

I also note that it's a lot harder to park the car on the street with more houses being converted to multiple occupancy - most with East European occupants - so having more cars per house.

There's surely a cold calculation to be made: if someone's paying Y in tax, how much are they taking in total benefits, including health and education services for their extended families? How many of their children are monolingual and could hold back other children at school or demand further resources? (To be fair, the East Europeans speak English well and so do their kids but the nearest primary school to me is starting to get a number of starters that don't. As a parent, that starts to bother me)

Is there another loss if they go, from employers or customers, having to source more expensive labour? Etc. It's a complicated calculation!
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King Lodos on 01/06/2017(UTC)
Prof Eman
Posted: 01 June 2017 20:31:18(UTC)
#53

Joined: 08/04/2010(UTC)
Posts: 480

Mickey/King Lodos
The trend seems to be point the wrong way. Poor times /recession post Brexit was predicted by many highly qualified, intelligent people with a life time experience in economic matters. Many people did not believe them and instead chose to believe Nigel Farage and Boris Johnson and some papers that print stuff to sell papers and not to inform the public of the facts.
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