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Money v Making Stuff-Should Britain bid farewell to the golden egg of banking.
ICD
Posted: 29 June 2011 11:21:07(UTC)

Joined: 12/01/2010(UTC)
Posts: 31

This could be renamed the intelligent person's thread! Although there is plenty of disagreement it seems to be occurring on a more constructive level than usual. That is my arrogant/humorous comment. Also off-topic could I suggest to Jeremy B to never use propriety printer cartridges. I have for over 8 years use the infinitely cheaper independent suppliers (in my case mostly Choice but recently Cartridge People). I haven’t checked for a while but I think they are about a third of the price,
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 29 June 2011 14:42:13(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

ICD

Agreed and thanks for the suggestion. The Citywire threads are generally good humoured with Mary Nightingale to keep us in order. I have found a reasonably high level of debate on Motley Fool and Advfn lately. Maybe because it is generally older people who, as private investors, have any money to argue about? Who knows? Let's just enjoy it while we can.

Should we be starting new threads for particular topics, as this one is getting rather unwieldy? I certainly cannot remember even my own contributions clearly, let alone others.
ICD
Posted: 29 June 2011 16:43:06(UTC)

Joined: 12/01/2010(UTC)
Posts: 31

Jeremy
You might even start arguing with yourself!
Motley Fool I know and value, although quite often I struggle to understand the professionals. Advfn I will investigate
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 29 June 2011 18:17:07(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

ICD

I use investment textbooks and Google to elucidate the writings of the professionals.

Doesn't any thinking person argue with their self? Take share selection: you weigh up asset allocation between cash, bonds, equities, commodities, alternatives such as stamps and coins with a list of pros and cons. Then you weigh up countries, sectors, growth versus value, TA versus fundamentals, income versus capital gains, now or later... On the one hand, but on the other hand... Is Kali the patron goddess of investors and economists? As Harry Truman said, "Someone send me a one-armed economist!".

Some say talking to yourself is the first sign of madness. But introspection as much as external research is the foundation of decision making.
Dr Jimbo
Posted: 29 June 2011 22:47:55(UTC)

Joined: 10/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 21

I think this thread needs to get back to its origins - whether Britain needs to resume making things rather than relying on a service economy. The problem is understanding whether this would lead to a competitive economy or not.

Two treatises were published in the mid 1980's by Macmillan ISBN 0-02-925090-0 and ISBN 0-333-51804-7.
They were books by Michael Porter of Harvard University and were called "Competitive Advantage" and "The Competitive Advantage of Nations" respectively. The first reviews the Value Chain - the subject introduced by Evan Davies in his second programme - and how this creates competitive advantage for specific companies. The second deals with the determinants of National Competitive Advantage.

Porter looked at how companies could compete globally based on local and structural advantage created by innovation and National politics. He also recognised the importance of clustering (Evan Davies programme looked at the Cambridge cluster). By studying over a hundred different industries his researchers found that competitive advantage grows fundamentally out of improvement, innovation and change, It involves the entire value system, requires a global approach to strategy but above all it demands relentlessly sustained improvement.

Except for a few sectors such as pharmaceuticals, defence equipment and financial services, the UK economy does not exhibit these characteristics. The problem we face is that the economy cannot rely on such a limited competitive sectorial base. It is not even clear that financial services will remain globally competitive because the banking sector has over-exposed itself to uncompetitive nations such as Greece. Greece is very uncompetitive, so is Portugal and Eire - and so are many Euro based economies.

The reason the UK needs to look towards manufacturing again is that this provides a basis for relentless innovation in multiple spheres - provided the political will is there to enable it through creating a competitive economic infrastructure. This means educating the workforce; using local national resources more effectively and building clusters of activity which engender the type of behaviour that is globally compeitive. It does not mean importing cheap labour, absorbing the indigenous labour force in public services or stifling innovation with politically correct European laws.

Engineering is the application of scientific knowledge. It can be applied to molecules as well as missiles, living matter and nature. Financial services should serve this activity rather than displace it. That is why I believe we must return to engineering in all its guises as a national priority. We will otherwise eventually follow Greece into oblivion as another lost empire.
easy life
Posted: 29 June 2011 23:06:42(UTC)

Joined: 16/07/2010(UTC)
Posts: 5

Interesting thread. I too am an Engineer, trained as an apprentice and then university. Having grown up working in industry (Mechanical, electronics, telecoms etc). I started in the 70's so things were already on the downward slope but we did make things and it was possible learn the practical skills. I have also traveled Asia, China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, etc and worked with companies there. In the UK Engineers today have lttle practical experience -how can they, all the manufacturing is in Asia-but we think we have a competitve advantage in R&D. Who are we kidding? In Asia the engineers practically live in the factories and as a result have more knowledge, are faster and more effecient. We are not in the same division let alone on the same playing field! Once my generation (who do have practical knowledge) have gone then apart from a few exceptions (Dyson) there will be little industry in the UK.
engineertony
Posted: 30 June 2011 00:04:58(UTC)

Joined: 24/05/2011(UTC)
Posts: 71

easy life

Welcome, where have you been since 8th June when this started? Just joking.
I started in the 1960s but I had a Dad who was a sheet metal worker and very practical so perhaps the 1950s,
I was stick welding when I was 10, had my sturmey archer hub gearbox on my bike in bits at the same age, and with a schoolmate was making valve radio receivers and transmitters a few years after.

Before MOT for cars there were all kinds of vehicles on the roads, my dad would tackle anything, brakes, clutch, back axle, gearbox, big ends, happy times with bits and pieces on the kitchen table. So I have always had a very practical approach engineering problems, a big asset years later on construction sites. There is no substitute for experience, no special committee or consultant or government enquiry can see a problem the way of practical experience, it's the difference between reading about a taste and actually knowing how it tastes.

My contribution to this thread has been to try to point out the way it's all died over some 50 years, many people think we can just switch it all on again but they are dreaming. I have worked in most of the middle east and the far east, Indonesia with Total Oil and in Malaysia with Cegelec, both French firms because I found I was a real engineer in France, and I totally agree with all the points in your posting.

My other contribution has been to look at the economics of a small community, my wild west town, and see how an army of bankers and paper shufflers would survive while 25% of the community made things. I have a theory that if we ditched all the parasites and racketeers we would live at twice the standard of living that we have now, with no debts, personal or national.
Example the insurance racket, the motorist is getting 24% of his premiums in repairs, the rest is going into the pockets of crooks, bent lawyers, and scammers of various kinds. I have another theory that the whole business of paper money without a back-up, just pieces of paper with no intrinsic value, is a big confidence trick, used to syphon off real wealth into the pockets of legalised gangsters and criminals.


engineertony
Posted: 30 June 2011 12:37:55(UTC)

Joined: 24/05/2011(UTC)
Posts: 71

Dream on, just had need to checkout LG motion, for automation parts, it's frightening, they're going to kill us, high quality, high tech and less expensive than the Germans or the Japanese. Nice quote on wiki:

"The Hyundai Pony, the first Korean-developed automobile, was built in 1975. Hyundai Motors accomplished this by engaging George Turnbull of British Leyland Motor Corporation as vice-president. The final result was a collaborative effort, comprising:

design from Italdesign;
transmission and engine from Mitsubishi;
technology transfer (bodies) from Perkinson;
car body molding from Ogihara Mold Company;
machine press from France; and
Funds from Barclays Bank and France Suez."

I worked with Koreans in Iran, in the Shah's days, the sar chesmeh copper mine, ore crushing & concentrating, and a smelter, their workmanship & productivity was superb, the only thing they lacked was my level of expertise to iron out the design faults and to get it all working. That was 1978 and it looks like they don't need us at all now.

Meanwhile we're arguing about civil service pensions. The same jokers who messed up the economy, took the teachers money under the pretext of investing in a pension fund, then lost it after making sure their own pensions were OK. Poor Francis Maude (another lawyer) got a mauling this morning on Radio 4 after his bluffing and arrogant truth bending failed.

So when are we going to start "making stuff", and what are we going to make?
Whatisname
Posted: 30 June 2011 22:43:07(UTC)

Joined: 21/01/2010(UTC)
Posts: 15

I think that it is a pipe dream that we will ever be able to compete with China, Korea, India etc in making things. They have high standards of education for some if not all, no welfare state to support, little in the way of bureaucracy compared with our green taxes, human rights act, equality legislation, employment(unemployment?) legislation and the continuing increase in EU legislation.

While we can for the moment produce high quality goods which attract a premium price worldwide I cannot see that continuing forever. We are told we are the ideas factory and R&D will be our main activity but our education system is dumming down the majority of our school children and as a country we are moving steadily down the world’s education league. While we have some world class universities and graduates so do most of our competitors. The "third world" is catching up fast and will soon be overtaking us. Our good engineering graduates will be looking to go overseas where they are valued and may well live in a lower tax economy. India has a space programme we don't. Our failed attempt to get a landing on Mars was a technical triumph but rubbished by the official report that was written afterwards, probably scuppering any such attempt in the future.

Our Financial services sector will face the same threat in the future especially now the London Stock Exchange is a takeover target from a foreign owner.

I read that while we are paying taxes to fund the reduction of our 2% contribution to the worlds CO2 emissions we are using foreign aid payments to finance building mega coal powered power stations overseas to produce cheap energy our manufacturers will have to compete against.

To coin a phrase from Dads Army "we're doomed" and I think that applies to most Western countries with a high cost base as well.

Is the west like the old empires of history: Greek, Roman, etc, bound to fail eventually? I would be interested if any of the more financially astute amongst us can explain how America can continue to run such a massive deficit apparently funded by China. Are they more bust than Greece?

Unless that is we can do something positive about all the topics that have previously been raised and previously summarised.

An aside: this morning I thought about the over 40% total taxation level in the UK and the fact I have been working and paying taxes for 40 years so I have effectively spent 16 years of my working life with no income and little benefit and had any chance of retirement ruined by Gordon and the rapacious Financial Sector and that was before the bust.


Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 01 July 2011 20:40:48(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Of general interest for the engineers on this thread: how they encourage public awareness in the USA:

National Academy of Engineering: WTOP Radio Series Archive
http://www.nae.edu/Activ...ojects/20730/20186.aspx

Working with WTOP Radio and Federal News Radio, the National Academy of
Engineering has created hundreds of radio features that highlight
engineering innovations and stories that add technical context to issues in
the news. Visitors to the site will note that they can search through the
programs by year or theme. The themes here include "Environment", "Sports",
and "Chemical Engineering". Some of the more recent programs include
features on the future of the invisibility cloak, remote truck inspection,
and a "sleep shirt", which could soon be advanced enough to provide data
only previously available in a sleep lab. Additionally, visitors can sign up
to receive their weekly installments via podcast.

To find this resource and more high-quality online resources in math and
science visit Scout's sister site - AMSER, the Applied Math and Science
Educational Repository at http://amser.org
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