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Money v Making Stuff-Should Britain bid farewell to the golden egg of banking.
Anonymous Post
Posted: 06 July 2011 18:53:47(UTC)
Anonymous 1 needed this 'Off the Record'

Dr Jimbo and Whatisname
Is the solution to the problem an Industry Bank on the lines suggested at #165 point no 7.
This could be operated through RBS and Lloyds branches, and other willing, without giving the right to withdraw overdraft facilities to the banks.
Incidentally I would welcome comments from anyone on all my suggestions

Prof Eman

To my other points I would also like to add the following-
16. Give tax incentives for capital equipment to help re-tool industry in anticipation of an upturn, to give them time to establish latest automated methods etc, before the turn up, and so as to prevent sucking in imports when the upturn does come.
17. Make business lending to small business conditional on a demonstration of business skills, with a minimum requirement of successful participation in a Young Enterprise type scheme, which could be run on the basis of say one evening per week.
18. Make grants and loans available through the Industry Bank subject to competition, final decisions to be made with the assistance of experienced industrialists with the right expertise, and bodies like FSB - Federation of Small Business and similar.
Dr Jimbo
Posted: 06 July 2011 21:54:27(UTC)

Joined: 10/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 21

Jeremy Bosk, Whatisname and Anonymous 1

We are getting to the nub of this issue. High Street banks can too easily pull out the rug and we need a US style process that puts a hold on this and enables companies to continue trading to find a way back to stability. The Japanese have done this through the Keiretsu link as they hate to lose face.

Good medium sized businesses and start-ups are having one hell of a time getting funding from banks to grow or even maintain their cash flow. VC's are difficult to deal with and could not bring enough cash into the equation to push UK Ltd forward. Their motive is to maximise profits by selling out their positions within 3 years - they have no long term view and normally invest just a few £100k-£3m for a 30-40% stake in the business; so its small beer when we are talking about significant manufacturing businesses employing thousands.

An Industry Bank(s) with a focus on specific sectors might work, but this would depend on ensuring it did not operate like the VC market. The devil would be in the detail but it could be made to work if the political will existed. A bank like this would have to take a long term position in the businesses it funded and provide additional management resources to ensure its investments did not founder. The bank would have to provide management added value as well as cash.

Tax reliefs for start-up businesses would be welcome as would more tax incentives for capital equipment - but not on a 20-year reducing balance basis - a 5-year reducing balance basis for sums up to £5m would be better for companies engaged in new technologies like NANOCO..

I am less enthused about grants as this can be distorted by political expediency and is enveloped in regulation.
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 06 July 2011 22:31:59(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Dr Jimbo

The difficulty with tax relief is that it only helps profit making companies which start-ups and young companies generally are not. So you are back to either grants or equity. While grants may be an undesirable undermining of capitalist principles, in reality we are faced with a world in which countries compete to buy jobs and technology using grants.

Unfortunately, "significant manufacturing businesses employing thousands" are just the ones most likely to outsource overseas, automate jobs out of existence and generally add to unemployment. Most jobs are created by a small proportion of small businesses - mainly those that have been around for several years and accumulated internal resources.

http://www.experianplc.c...ws/2010/02-12-2010.aspx

http://www.ey.dk/Publica...repreneurs_May_2010.pdf

This paper is quite technical but reading the introduction and conclusion conveys the gist:
http://www.niesr.ac.uk/pubs/dps/dp139.PDF


Whatsisname

We have all been victimised by sociopathic bankers and their agents. I sympathise from the heart. As you say, have as little to do with them as possible. Unfortunately as little as possible is often way too much.
Dr Jimbo
Posted: 07 July 2011 08:07:07(UTC)

Joined: 10/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 21

Jeremy

Your comments about tax releif are correct of course, but in the context of existing companies, tax reliefs can be a very useful way to encourage re-investment, especially if they can be rolled over several years.

Start-ups are a different matter and I favour equity over grants because these grants are usually small. I started my own consulting company with a grant of £1200 but still would have done so without it. At the other end of the scale, I sat on the Government's Selective Financial Assistance Group in the late 70's and grants running into 8 figures were sometimes given to multinational corporations to bribe them to stay in the UK or invest in a politically sensitive area such as South Wales. These discussions are still covered by the Official Secrets Act.

This is surely not the way forward. These grants were never focussed on technology but always on cost-per-job and political benefit. The European limits on this probably remain but in my experience the truth was carefully edited.

In the end an Industrial Investment Bank with real interests in say nanotechnology, green energy and another discipline would be a better long term bet as it could raise its own finance, get large sums of government grant aid money to manage and would provide essential back office links across like minded companies. In this way we could encourage the development of business that could employ thousands.
Anonymous Post
Posted: 07 July 2011 11:17:37(UTC)
Anonymous 1 needed this 'Off the Record'

Dear all
Just read to-day's CITYWIRE piece - Chart of the Day: manufacturing's slow decline. Frightening to say the least.
Will be replying to some of your most recent comments shortly.

Prof Eman
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 07 July 2011 11:33:24(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Some of he decline in manufacturing employment is down to reclassification e.g. a works canteen was once run by the company. The cooks were employed by the company and classified as manufacturing employees. Nowadays it is outsourced to the likes of Sodexho or Compass and reclassified as a service industry. Same people, same job, different industry. A great many other "non core" functions such as payroll, HR, property maintenance, security... you name it are now often outsourced and reclassified as services.

This is not to deny that whole swathes of manufacturing have genuinely disappeared, just a call for cautious interpretation of the figures.
Anonymous Post
Posted: 07 July 2011 19:57:31(UTC)
Anonymous 1 needed this 'Off the Record'

Jeremy
Thank you for your contribution at #176.
When I first looked at The Chart of the Day : manufacturing's slow decline, I missed the significance of outsourcing.
Since then I asked Citywire to comment on this,under the heading, but they were unable to help further.
On the industrial bank side and tax incentives for capital equipment, tax relief, etc, it would be hoped to at least slow the outsourcing rate of "significant manufacturing businesses employing thousands", and with the help of automation etc to improve productivity to an extent that these businesses could continue operating from home. Perhaps on similar lines to the German manufacturing.
Thank you again for your contribution.

Prof Eman
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 07 July 2011 23:03:03(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

There has apparently been a similar debate at the Economist:

"This house believes that an economy cannot succeed without a big manufacturing base"

http://www.economist.com...te/debates/overview/207

Interestingly, the debate has been sponsored by Siemens.



Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 08 July 2011 09:47:49(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Today's Dilbert cartoon is extremely apposite to this debate:

http://dilbert.com/strips/
Anonymous Post
Posted: 08 July 2011 12:42:33(UTC)
Anonymous 1 needed this 'Off the Record'

Jeremy
Seems that The Economist debate reached similar conclusions to our debate.
Prof Eman
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