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Greece - the REAL problem facing us all.
Robert Court
Posted: 24 October 2011 08:30:38(UTC)
#1

Joined: 22/08/2011(UTC)
Posts: 606

The present Greek debt is NOT the problem - it is just the symptom.

I believe that if ALL the Greek debt was instantly wiped out the problem would NOT be solved; the debt would IMMEDIATELY start building up again.

Greece's government, even with all its austerity measures, is still spending more than it has coming in (i.e. even excluding debt repayments).

A bloated civil service and over-generous state pensions are probably the main culprits.

Most western countries are in EXACTLY the same position with our governments apparently incapable of making the books balance and continuously putting off the inevitable because the truth is just too awful to state and have any chance of being elected.

We CANNOT afford our present 'generous' (UK's state pension one of the least generous in western Europe) guaranteed state pensions in their present format where the contributions made by individuals are used to pay those already in receipt of pensions.

Say we pay 10% of our income towards a state pension; it would have to rise to something like 30% to 40% for it to be self-financing!

Does anybody honestly believe that today's youth will be prepared to pay for their own state pension plus that of two or three or even four generations that have already retired and are in receipt of pensions? I don't believe they will be prepared to make such a sacrifice and would probably rather revolt and bring about anarchy.

So, what's the solution (if any)?

Personally I'd abolish income tax (far too many loopholes), reduce state pensions to 75% of the basic unemployment rate, increase National Insurance Contributions to 20% of total earned income and increase VAT to something like 30% (harder than income tax to avoid).

I'd allocate expenditure as a percentage of revenue.

Example: Unemployment benefits to be a maximum of £'x' per week and a maximum of 'x' % of revenue; then if unemployment went up the rate of unemployment benefits would go down as the country could not afford to be so generous. All members of society suffer and gain as the economy either prospers or falters.

With increasing unemployment and reducing benefits more unemployed will genuinely seek work to make ends meet and then as unemployment goes down and unemployment benefits increase those unable to find work will be less badly off.

A self regulating system!

I'd also make it a criminal offense for any Prime Minister, Chancellor and Cabinet to increase the level of debt over a period in power; any temporary increase in debt would have to repaid before the next election was held or those individuals responsible held to account and, for example, they would lose any pension rights gained in office.

Some people keep bleating that a country's debt is different from an individual's debt and they are right; at present an individual bears some responsibility for their own debt but if a government increases debt no one person takes any responsibility (losing an election is nothing compared to being personally responsible for a trillion or two of debt, is it?)

It's time to face the truth and live within our means; the alternative is revolution and social unrest and a collapse of the democracies almost 40 million people died for in Europe (and something like 56 million people worldwide) died for worldwide in WW2.

Robert Court
Posted: 24 October 2011 08:42:38(UTC)
#2

Joined: 22/08/2011(UTC)
Posts: 606

By the way, one of the cheapest places to buy a car in Europe was Denmark.

Why?

The Danes whopped a massive 100% purchase tax on new cars so the manufacturers sold their cars at the lowest possible profitable price to get a share of the market (every krone less as a retail price made a car 2 krone cheaper to the customer once VAT was added).

For a 30% VAT rate and zero income tax rate to work it would mean having a common EU wide rate of VAT otherwise we'd all be sailing off to Calais etc to buy our new widgets at greatly reduced prices.

Without income tax most of us would be able to save for our own future instead of being taken care of by the nanny state; state pensions should really only be for those of us who are genuinely poor.
Stella Arman
Posted: 24 October 2011 17:56:40(UTC)
#3

Joined: 31/12/2010(UTC)
Posts: 4

Well said Robert!
Robert Court
Posted: 24 October 2011 18:18:59(UTC)
#4

Joined: 22/08/2011(UTC)
Posts: 606

Stella Arman

Thanks ~blush~

I wonder if abolishing income tax is really at all feasible?

Income tax is apparently a relatively new invention though we had all sorts of other taxes for most of recorded history.

There is a need in a global economy to start making some of our taxes more uniform; though I can understand the need for some countries to compete on some taxes as in the case of Ireland where the country has resisted pressure to increase Corporation Tax which it sees (in its present much lower than anywhere else in the EU rate) as a huge carrot for inward investment and a stimulus to the economy.

Parts of the UK (including even England) have benefited by direct EU regional aid in the past, though this has dwindled as poorer countries have joined the EU.

I believe that part of VAT/purchase tax/whatever you like to call it is the main source of EU revenue (somebody who knows better can put me right).

For the time being the EU does not act as democratically as most of the EU citizens would like.

I quite like the federal system that Germany uses even though this has not worked so well since unification as all the previous West German 'lande' have had to contribute to the former East Germany and lost some of their autonomy. The USA system also seems to work quite well with both federal and state taxes.

It seems likely to me that the EU will continue to evolve and become both more powerful as a politcal bloc and also more democratic (i.e. the European Parliament will gradually get more and more powers at the expense of the unelected Suropean Commission and European Council).

I have to admit I find it quite exciting to be part of the most powerful global economic bloc instead of just being a citizen of a former world power that can nolonger afford to punch above its weight. We have a lot to contribute to the EU and the EU can also be of great help to us as a member country.

English has overtaken French as the EU lingua franca - it's about time we at least punched our own weight in European politics in a positive instead of always negative way.

I just had a brilliant idea; the EU could contract out all EU Defence to the UK as the EU paid mercenaries; apart from France helping out in Libya we are about the only country that can be counted on in Europe to fight instead of just talking when the need arises!

Whoops - I just alienated myself from all the pacifists who feel that the Defence industry is evil (which it is in an ideal world but we don't live in an ideal world so there)

Damn, you can't even please some of the people some of the time let alone most people most of the time!
stormdog
Posted: 24 October 2011 18:56:39(UTC)
#5

Joined: 04/02/2008(UTC)
Posts: 56

Robert,

Great post!

How about abolishing CGT for all individual UK registered taxpayers who also have a National Insurance number?

It would free up a log-jam billions of pounds that are currently locked up and doing nothing thus providing great liquidity into the financial system.

Most of all it would encourage a tremendous amount of financial activity.

This idea could be engineered towards the newly acquired money having to be re-invested into UK registered businesses, start-ups or whatever the country needs in order to give a boost to getting the wheels of commerce really turning again.

Sharper minds than mine could structure this so that it would be of real benefit to the country, particularly in the area of the creation of new jobs and the consequent reduction in unemployment benefit.

banjofred
Posted: 24 October 2011 19:08:28(UTC)
#6

Joined: 14/03/2011(UTC)
Posts: 235

Robert,

Wasnt Income Tax brought in temporarily to find WW 1 ?

Those regional EU grants - we got one and they had to spend it before a deadline. We got all new street lights, when the originals were perfectly good. A prime example of the waste created by the bureaucratic mess of corruption and waste that is the EU.

the theory is great - we can be bigger than the USA.

The practice is that its a gravy train for the folks across La Manche

We only got grants as we pay zillions to the foreigners. We bankruped ourselves bailing them out in WW 2, they got all the grants to rebuild, and now the Germans,Belgians and French take the benefit, whilst 24 others dip their bread in our gravy.

BRITAIN’S bill for EU membership has soared to £77billion a year – a cost of £1,246 to every man, woman and child in the country, new figures reveal. (Daily Express)

With 77 billion we could pay down our national debt. They wont cut off our trade, as in fact they export more to us anyway.

Given the choice, I would bail out.

In your Greek analysis, you failed ot mention the Bazouki, which of course appreals more than the banjo in that area.

banjoFred


Robert Court
Posted: 24 October 2011 19:55:16(UTC)
#7

Joined: 22/08/2011(UTC)
Posts: 606

stormdog

Thanks - though I am certain almost everything I post can be shot down in flames.

How can you be a registered taxpayer if income tax is abolished?

Re. capital gains tax - I'm not sure on the morality of this tax as I have to admit that I'd prefer to live off unearned income rather than earned income which is probably counter-productive from an economic point of view so I'm all in favour of capital gains tax being abolished though doubt it would be good for those who'd curse me for my good fortune.

Hmmmm... maybe abolish CGT for investments in 'British' firms - but that might rule out global companies with just a UK base.

Corporation tax is another tax I'm not too sure about; it should definitely only apply to 'large' companies with good profits but again that is taxing success and rewarding failure, isn't it?

I'm an optimist and my ideal world would be one where we are all rich and totally unenvious of the Jones who have a Bentley Mulsanne Turbo (but in psychadelic green so they should be pitied!).

Rich people redistribute wealth when they spend it and when they spend it they make other people rich so they should be encouraged to make shitloads more money so they can spend more and eventually we'll all be rich and have to employ aliens or robots to do all the boring work rich people don't have to do like wipe their own bums.

Yes - I want everybody to be 'rich' and happy and live in the best of all possible worlds and we can all live in our own personal kingdoms surrounded by high voltage fences with large signs on all entrances stating: 'Private Property - Keep Out or Die'

I have another quite brilliant idea on how to stimulate the economy and shall start another thread to give it an airing.
Barrance007
Posted: 24 October 2011 23:35:02(UTC)
#8

Joined: 29/09/2011(UTC)
Posts: 1

I think it was Pitt in 1798 who first brought in income tax to pay for the Napoleonic War.
Why does UK always get lumbered with the costs of Europe?

It seems to me that if one desires an efficient society, that is where the paying customers get the most for their taxes, then one cannot leave it to the notoriously inefficient government. Getting rid of the hideously greedy public sector is vital.

Better to gradually reduce/remove all taxes and encourage citizens to pay for most formerly state services direct.
More tax is actually gathered at lower rates of tax anywa - see Arthur Laffer.
Citizens taxed at lower levels would be better citizens used to thinking/acting for themselves.
Pete Latham
Posted: 25 October 2011 08:23:42(UTC)
#9

Joined: 24/03/2010(UTC)
Posts: 8

Hi Robert,
A very thought - provoking article which I think merits serious consideration. However, I do disagree with your assertion of a "Top down" economy, where the rich stimulate more economic activity.

In my opinion, it is those at the bottom of society who have the real clout. If you give a rich man 10k, he will most likely top up his savings/investments for him and his family, and the remainder will go towards a foreign holiday.

If you give the same amount to poor people, they will either replace the car, or spend it on the house, upgrade the computer/t.v. etc, etc, etc.

Then, the people who have provided those services will go out and have a conservatory built, or extend the house, the wife will go out and get that dress she always wanted.

In this way, the money percolates UP through the economy to get to the people who provide the most services to the greatest number of people. If you can take £ 60 out of 200,000 households, you might be doing quite well. Look at Richard Halpin.

When the poor people stop spending, the High St. catches a cold.

Regards, Pete.
Robert Court
Posted: 25 October 2011 08:29:41(UTC)
#10

Joined: 22/08/2011(UTC)
Posts: 606

Maybe we should get back to the basics of what we want?

What do we want from government and what do we actually need from government?

I'd suggest that the first thing we both want and need and that we couldn't personally provide for ourselves is security; i.e.:

1. Some sort of police force and a legal system so that we could work and live and move freely without fear of being attacked by others in an otherwise lawless society.
2. Protection from the possible threat of a hostile country; i.e. some some sort of defence force.
3. Emergency services.

Secondly we both need and want some sort of infrastructure:

1. An efficient road/transport system available to the general public and industry.
2. A government capable of enforcing the availability of utilities to supply their sevices unhindered - power, water, telephone,internet, postal sevices etc. to both industry and the public.

That's about it as far as what we need from a government, but even that alone is a huge responsibility and not an easy task.

There's plenty of other things we'd like to have but don't need the government to provide for us:

1. Education
2. Health Services
3. Pensions
4. Benefits to the unemployed and disabled

The last list are all things that we as individuals can pay for ourselves but in a civilised society we take for granted as a right to be supplied for us by the state.

Is it a right?

I don't know, but to pay for all the things we don't all have to have provided but would like to have means we have to pay a huge amount for making a central government seem vastly more important than it actually is; provided a government provides a country with a framework of law and order, defence of its borders and the infrastructure to enable industry to thrive the rest is just a luxury we can either afford or not afford depending on how much we are prepared to individually sacrifice in huge taxes for the benefit of society as a whole.
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