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Money v Making Stuff-Should Britain bid farewell to the golden egg of banking.
Robert Court
Posted: 11 September 2011 09:45:07(UTC)

Joined: 22/08/2011(UTC)
Posts: 606

Jeremy,

Practice lateral thinking:

If you can't persuade the Scandinavians to move here and sort things out, take your problems to Scandinavia!

Emmigrate to a Skandinavian country.

Claim political refugee status.

Good luck!
Anonymous Post
Posted: 11 September 2011 14:21:54(UTC)
Anonymous 1 needed this 'Off the Record'

Still on Life support
Your post at #448.
On Germany and Euroland.
The fact is, it is not in the interests of Germany to resolve the problerm of periferal countries in Euroland for two reasons-
1. Keeps the exchange rate of the Euro down, thus giving them an advantage. Effectively it means that instead of becoming anothetr Switzerland, they have become the China of Europe.
2. They can buy up assets in the periferal countries on the cheap, and become an even bigger economic force, controlling most of Europe.
This is likely to go on until something snaps.
Wait to see how long it takes for Greece to come out of the Euro. Seems to me that that is the most sensible way out for them.
Nevertheless, industrial growth of 10% is admirable and compares well to that of China.
Strip that out of the German GDP equation and what sort of growth (on the services side) do you get?
Again for various reasons it seems that people are more willing to buy German stuff than ours, and this is a concern that should be addressed urgently.
Certainly Germany is another living proof that developed nations cannot rely on services for growth

Prof Eman
Anonymous Post
Posted: 11 September 2011 14:41:13(UTC)
Anonymous 1 needed this 'Off the Record'

Jeff Lampert at #442
Double Entry Book-keeping
We should have concerns about the above for three reasons.
1. Accounting conventions and strandards are often got round, by creative accounting.
2. Assets are difficult to value and change in value over time. One does not know what an assset is really worth until it is sold.
3, Auditors are more often interested in maintaining their audit business, rather than presenting a true and fair view to stakeholders.
It is and has not been unusual for an audited Company to be given a healthy report and within six months it goes into administration or worse. Shareholders have little opportunity for redress under the law.
Not sure how to overcome these problems.
Any ideas?

Prof Eman
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 11 September 2011 19:12:10(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Prof

Germany and the EURO

Is it really in the interests of the Germans to see their customers go bust? Do they really want or need millions more poverty stricken neighbours riven with political and possibly armed strife? It will eventually penetrate to all concerned that they are in a symbiotic relationship, not predatory or parasitic.

Re #442

I think you are paraphrasing a lot of what Jeff said in your points 1 and 2.

Your point 3 - the auditors are paid to check the arithmetic in the accounts and the apparent adherence to legal requirements.

They are paid by the company and appointed by the managers. There are often differences of interest between owners and managers.

If auditors were appointed directly by shareholders then, except in the case where management were the largest shareholders, they could be more active checking for fraud, sloppiness etcetera.

Putting a limit on the length of time one auditor as an individual could serve would limit excessive chumminess.

Putting a limit on the total number of years an auditing firm as a whole could serve would remove the incentive to make nice with whomsoever appoints the auditor.

The disadvantages to change are that the whole relationship between managers of big companies, fund managers, cross shareholdings, multiple directorships... is riddled with conflicts of interest. You might end up with relationships going underground like the Mafia. What else are gentleman's clubs for?

There is a value in continuity. An auditor familiar with the way things are is likely to spot change and wonder why.

Well managed relationships between people of integrity can produce better results. Trust is valuable.

It boils down to personal morality. Our education system, our political system and our role models need to place more value on that.

I am not calling for the stifling of freedom of expression and individual non-conformity that existed in 1950s Britain. The reaction to that resulted in the largely fictional excesses of the Swinging Sixties and the all too real era of "Greed is good".
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 11 September 2011 21:27:01(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Debt down the ages - interesting article by Gillian Tett in the FT Weekend Magazine

High quality global journalism requires investment. Please share this article with others using the link below, do not cut & paste the article. See our Ts&Cs and Copyright Policy for more detail. Email ftsales.support@ft.com to buy additional rights. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/...bdc0.html#ixzz1Xg4kbPS3

"In modern society, Graeber argues, economists often assume that money emerged as a medium of exchange to replace barter, while virtual credit developed after that. After all, gold is easier to carry around than sacks of potatoes or cows – and credit cards are a very recent invention.

However, Graeber asserts this sequencing is wrong: his reading of history suggests that complex debt relations, in the widest sense, emerged before coins circulated (and before complex systems of barter, too)."

======================

Well worth registering to read 30 free articles a month without spam. I hope they do not mind very small quotes.
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 11 September 2011 22:07:09(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Prof

More on the 50p tax rate from the Undercover Economist:

It is a fuss about nothing.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/...-b199-00144feabdc0.html

An interesting article on what has gone wrong in the USA since 9/11 and how little it had to do with terrorism. Relevant to us because when Uncle Sam sneezes the rest of the world catches cold. Same with China so we can look forward to twice as many colds :-(

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/...bdc0.html#axzz1Xb0whb00

Whatisname
Posted: 11 September 2011 22:16:29(UTC)

Joined: 21/01/2010(UTC)
Posts: 15

In relation to auditors: Many years ago I was putting a new accounting system in for a large manufacturer who was part of a larger FTSE group. The auditors were in so the FD spent a lot of time with them, to his frustration. He showed me a list of the larger transactions in descending order of magnitude and asked me which ones I thought they were concentrating on. I looked at the list and there were a number of very large intercompany transfers so I suggested that these were the ones. They were and he said they concentrated on the same ones every year, the top few percent of major transactions. So I suggested that if he wanted to defraud the company he should make the value of the fraudulent transactions less than the intercompany transfers, he smiled. Then he explained as there were a new lot of trainee auditors doing the audit each year they always followed the same process and he explained the same thing every year. The process they had to follow did not allow for any use of intelligence.
Jeremy Bosk
Posted: 11 September 2011 22:49:31(UTC)

Joined: 09/06/2010(UTC)
Posts: 1,316

Whatisname

Besides youthful naivety, I suppose that is the result of over-prescriptive rules, regulations, legislation etcetera. Use check-lists by all means. But we need to revert to general principles and have the flexibility to depart from rules where they do not make sense. I believe that in corporate governance matters this is called "comply or explain". There is nothing wrong with footnotes, end notes and appendices!

jeff lampert
Posted: 11 September 2011 22:53:54(UTC)

Joined: 13/11/2009(UTC)
Posts: 41

Prof 483

1. Accounting conventions and strandards are often got round, by creative accounting.

2. Assets are difficult to value and change in value over time. One does not know what an assset is really worth until it is sold.

3, Auditors are more often interested in maintaining their audit business, rather than presenting a true and fair view to stakeholders.

1. You are exactly right. Suggest we stop valuing companies on artificial profits, do away with double entry-bookeeping, and value companies on forecast cash generation. Diretors will be awarded bonuses on how close they get to forecast?
2. In the age of vast and instanrt information, when i am politely told off in my car if I take a wrong turn and told by a polite lady to do a "U" turn, it must be surely possible to have a central database for the value of all assets? Company accounts (cash forecasts) are instantly updated as values change (gold is an easy one: foreign currencies are not fifficult, neither are assets such as oil-stocks property etd) A cenrtal property register would certainly have meant sub-prime would have happened more slowly! It appears only Goldmans knew the market was rapidly softening ('cos they took the trouble to ask at rhe coal face!)
3 Auditors need to become entirely seperate from other service providers. They have an interest in keeping bust companies going 'cos of the future income stream, and are therefore conflicted.. The crazy Capara Judgement (shareholders in the main cannot sue auditors) needs to be reversed. And do away with ALL self regulation of EVERYTHING, or be consistent and allow the lunatics to run the asylum, and the inmates the prison.

I can see many reasons why this would not work, and would be virtually impossible to implement.
But I suggest it is better than the 500 year old system that is currently and rapidly destroying all of our wealth!
jeff lampert
Posted: 11 September 2011 23:05:24(UTC)

Joined: 13/11/2009(UTC)
Posts: 41

Jaremy 485

Graeber has got it right
USA debt to China keeps their factories working and so their poulation are happy.
Cheap Chinese goods keeps the Yanks happy.
It suits both sides.

The only way it can finish is if China forgives the American debt!
It feels wrong, but I am not sure it is!
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