Neminem Laedit;336117 wrote:ben ski;336116 wrote:Ultimately – unless Bitcoin is the future of finance (which is perhaps unlikely, as it'd struggle to run more than few busy petrol stations with how slow it is) – the only ones who'll get out with a profit are those who sell on local highs, like the recent one.
If you're waiting for a $200k that never comes, you'll be holding all the way to the bottom.
Do the math.
If BTC goes to $1m and then $10m, as I believe it will, where will you be ?
Attach whatever probability you think, and then compare with a zero allocation...
Maths/Investing 101.
I hold Bitcoin, but I don't buy dips, because I never know whether it's coming back.
If you buy every 20% drop, then what happens when it keeps dropping 20%? Either you bail at some point, or it's fire you'll be burning money on forever.
You have to have a plan, and faith works if you're right. But faith is also why gamblers go bankrupt and jump off bridges. The odds I assign to Bitcoin being meaningfully higher than it is now, are about 1%.