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Swiss Watches as alternative asset / store of value
Joe Soap
Posted: 10 September 2021 13:58:50(UTC)
#58

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Quote:
Patek are by and large a one trick pony, that may be a bit harsh but the Nautilus is the absolute star attraction there. Most other Pateks can be bought with a discount and take a massive depreciation hit on resell. With the Nautilus you are paying for the exclusivity, not the movement.

Similarly AP are a one trick pony with the Royal Oak range. Indeed the Royal Oak Chrono until recently didn't even have a fully in house movement, it was an AP base movement with a Dubois-Depraz chronograph module bolted onto it. Again it's the exclusivity and image people are paying for here.

Both Patek and AP are trying to branch out to new models but the first thing people think of with either brand is stainless steel sport models, which has the purists in despair.

It is also true of Rolex though. Go into any Rolex shop and you can walk out with as many Oyster Perpetuals as you can carry. The windows are full of them. The Rolex shop that looked down on Mrs Soap when she inquired about a submariner were pushing a 20 grand yachtmaster at her. List price because it was a Rolex shop. But 20 grand is PP, AP and Vacheron territory. (Still wearing my 30 year old Breitling!)

Like I already said, it's a highly manipulated false market presently in bubble territory. To be avoided.
2 users thanked Joe Soap for this post.
smg8 on 10/09/2021(UTC), Mr GL on 10/09/2021(UTC)
mdss68
Posted: 10 September 2021 14:08:00(UTC)
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smg8....good stuff, and absolutely agreed about Germany, I may be down at the Nomos, Sinn & Stowa level, but a Glashutte Original Sea Q would be on my wrist well before a Sub, should those numbers ever roll in, or ADA rise to about $1000! As for the high end, an A. Lange & Söhne Lange 1 Perpetual Calendar would do very nicely thanks!


To answer Mr GL's original question though, FP Journe. The scarcity is genuine, he only knocks out 90 or so per year, they are works of art, and as Kevin O'Leary put it, it's like buying a Picasso while Picasso is still alive. If you can afford one, then find one, 20 years from now.....People will never ask you if it's fake, but you may have to explain how you actually tell the time on a few of them!
2 users thanked mdss68 for this post.
smg8 on 10/09/2021(UTC), Mr GL on 10/09/2021(UTC)
Mr GL
Posted: 10 September 2021 16:28:20(UTC)
#60

Joined: 18/10/2020(UTC)
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Well - I shall continue to keep my 29 year old Breitling and my 14 year old Baume and Mercier in the sock drawer...

I do think so many of these watches are very 'pretty' - but I just can't get my head around price and value - because I have never understood 'fashion'

will keep wearing my Apple Watch as I love all its gadgets
Joe Soap
Posted: 10 September 2021 16:44:45(UTC)
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Mr GL;185535 wrote:
Well - I shall continue to keep my 29 year old Breitling and my 14 year old Baume and Mercier in the sock drawer...

I do think so many of these watches are very 'pretty' - but I just can't get my head around price and value - because I have never understood 'fashion'

will keep wearing my Apple Watch as I love all its gadgets

Enjoy the Breitling and the B&M because they likely have little value. I was told recently by a large Breitling "boutique" that my (other) very nice >30 year old Breitling wasn't worth having serviced. I was told it was probably worth £100 as a source of spare parts for a dealer. I decided, since I can only wear one watch at a time to sell it. In the end, I was very lucky that I got £600 for it advertising on line after a lot of time wasters. That is less than it cost new from Mappin and Webb in the 1980's. Just enjoy them and forget about any value is my advice.
1 user thanked Joe Soap for this post.
Mr GL on 10/09/2021(UTC)
jeffian
Posted: 10 September 2021 16:51:50(UTC)
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As I've said on another thread about this subject, I love all things mechanical and have a collection of watches, clocks and barographs for the sheer pleasure of it, some bought at auction but most trickling down through the family. I am ardently of the view that all these things should be used for their intended purpose - paintings/sculpture/artwork should be on display, watches and jewellery should be worn etc - and the concept of "store of value" is a bit soul-destroying, particularly if these things then get locked away.

I note that many of the recent posts are talking about watches bought new from retailers. Given the mark-up on retail, I can't think how anyone would think that was a good 'investment', at least in the short term. Surely 'investors' should be looking at auctions for good pre-owned models?
2 users thanked jeffian for this post.
Mr GL on 10/09/2021(UTC), April Ludgate on 11/09/2021(UTC)
Joe Soap
Posted: 10 September 2021 17:22:42(UTC)
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jeffian;185541 wrote:
As I've said on another thread about this subject, I love all things mechanical and have a collection of watches, clocks and barographs for the sheer pleasure of it, some bought at auction but most trickling down through the family. I am ardently of the view that all these things should be used for their intended purpose - paintings/sculpture/artwork should be on display, watches and jewellery should be worn etc - and the concept of "store of value" is a bit soul-destroying, particularly if these things then get locked away.

I note that many of the recent posts are talking about watches bought new from retailers. Given the mark-up on retail, I can't think how anyone would think that was a good 'investment', at least in the short term. Surely 'investors' should be looking at auctions for good pre-owned models?

Forgive me, but you miss part of the point there. The retail trade is selling a very selected type of watch (Rolex "sport" watches mainly) deliberately into the grey market whilst Rolex themselves artificially restrict the supply.*** The result is that watches sold at retail price one day are offered in the grey market the next day at huge premium to retail.

Otherwise, yes I agree with you entirely about people buying 1970's motorbikes etc.. as investment pieces. It's a real shame.

*** Rolex actually make around a million watches a year! It's a real life artificially manipulated market at the moment.

Edited to add, nobody should ever pay list price for Breitling, Omega, TAG Heuer, IWC etc.... All are available in the grey market brand new at around a 25 to 30% discount if you look.
jeffian
Posted: 10 September 2021 17:48:40(UTC)
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Thanks, Joe. Well I'm obviously a bit green around the gills as I have very recently bought my wife a Rolex to celebrate a Very Big Birthday (I won't say!) and although I shopped around I was told very firmly that Rolex NEVER discount their prices. What do I know?!
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Joe Soap on 10/09/2021(UTC)
Joe Soap
Posted: 10 September 2021 18:12:10(UTC)
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jeffian;185549 wrote:
Thanks, Joe. Well I'm obviously a bit green around the gills as I have very recently bought my wife a Rolex to celebrate a Very Big Birthday (I won't say!) and although I shopped around I was told very firmly that Rolex NEVER discount their prices. What do I know?!

Congrats on a wonderful gesture to your wife. At least you were able to purchase what you wanted for her. I am certain she will treasure it.

I bought Mrs Soap a Rolex Oyster Datejust in gold and steel as an engagement present long, long ago. So sad that she wasn't able to treat me to a retirement present Submariner (I stopped her buying in the grey market at a premium) a few weeks ago.

I can assure you that apart from a very few Rolex sports watches kept in artificial shortage (Submariner, Daytona....) if you go to the right shop at the right time for the right Rolex watch, you will get a discount. Not easy but you can.

The other makes you are simply better avoiding the big glossy "boutiques" and prices are far lower in the grey market for brand new in box unworn watches.
David Grieve
Posted: 14 September 2021 14:58:23(UTC)
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Well, like many people during the last 18 months, whilst stuck at home I spent way too long looking at stuff or dreaming of stuff to buy. As someone who likes watches I also explored buying them as investments. I came to the conclusion that unless you were already ensconced with the AD of a brand, then you had no chance of getting your hands on a new model at retail. It seems that luxury watches were a boom in the pandemic, with a lot of people stuck at home and nothing else to spend their money on they turned to luxury goods. Also things like steel sports watches (Rolex Sub no date) have become hot, in part due to Instagram and other social media platforms, FOMO etc. I am not a big fan of Rolex and prefer simpler designs so looked at other brands. As mentioned F.P. Journe are rare and took my fancy but are also extremely hot at the moment. There is a certain draw to using your boring funds to buy something exotic like a car or a fancy watch, yet it is still an appreciating investment. FPJ's chronometer blue for example was retailing for £23k but on the secondary market selling for +£40 in March. (Now the same model is at £70 touching £80k.) I had considered getting one of these but there no chance at the AD. Even if I could then I would have to sell some perfectly good funds from my ISA to fund this. Then there is the problem of liquidity – how quickly can I sell the watch if I needed the cash? How long would I have to wait for the watch to appreciate (assuming I was buying on the secondary market)? Is this a bubble? I would also have to explain to my other half why I had spent $20k+ on a watch when we should be buying a new cellar conversion, a car or a new kitchen.

If I grossed +20K then I should pay capital gains. How do I get the money back into my ISA etc……. I stayed with the ‘boring’ funds.

On the watch forums this topic comes up fairly regularly and the overriding response is never buy watches for investments. Buy them to enjoy and wear them.
2 users thanked David Grieve for this post.
Joe Soap on 14/09/2021(UTC), mdss68 on 15/09/2021(UTC)
Bulldog Drummond
Posted: 14 September 2021 17:24:52(UTC)
#67

Joined: 03/10/2017(UTC)
Posts: 6,253

I have heard that you can also buy these things ex VAT if you fancy a trip to the Channel Islands.
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