Thanks for the insightful responses all
Raj K;247032 wrote: This may sound strange but you may want to consider the option of going with another 2 year fixed or a BoE tracker, (are they doing discounted tracker?).
Yes, discounted trackers still exist and Martin Lewis has suggested to consider them. I’m not ruling out a last minute switch to one if a gap between fixed and variable rates significantly widens over the coming months before my renewal
Thrugelmir;247037 wrote: In July 2007 base rate was 5,50%. Mortgage rates weren't far above this level as lenders leveraged their lending power up.
Base rate remains low by historical standards. Unlikely we'll ever return to the levels of the past decade or so.
Yes, this is my worry. If mortgage rates stay quite far above the base rate, unlike 2007, then further increases will be painful.
Thrugelmir;247037 wrote: Your mortgage should be portable should you decide to move
Yes, I have outgrown my current place. However it’s in a good school catchment and the kids are starting school so I probably need to wait 2 years to move somewhere bigger. Most mortgages are portable, but you need to take the additional borrowing with the same lender…which of course might not be the most competitive rate.
Newbie;247039 wrote: Inflation will be around for a prolonged period and rates move upwards slowly for a longer period. In-turn banks are likely to cream off the newfound gravy train for a while yet. Thus if you can afford to fix it,, then go for fixing it for a long time-frame. You will be buying yourself security
My current LTV is 50% but considering my desire to move home in a couple of years, I will likely take out more borrowing (probably circa doubling my mortgage). Maybe a way to hedge the decision is to take a 10 year fix now for current borrowing, and then accept whatever is on offer in 2 years or the additional borrowing. That way there is a balance between current security and future rate movements