Ignore the rent a quote merchants, sorry I mean ‘experts’ re bond market. Japan went to 200% of GDP, as long as you pay lip service to ‘prudence’’ and get the OBR on side your city analyst experts will go with it. Spain has just sold loads of debt today, no problem.
So IHT….
Incredibly this appears to be a tax lots of people, many who are not even rich enough to pay it, worry about…despite that most people aren’t rich enough to pay it + your beneficiaries pay it, given you’re gonna be dead. Therefore Lab will striuggle to land blows. They will then have to say whether they will bring it back. They may say they would bring it for the ‘top 5%’ only but the top 5% dont really pay IHT, its the midddle classes via property and pension who pay IHT. Plus most people intuitively know that if it’s brought back it will hit them too at some point.
Also once it’s abolished it’s really hard to bring it back. Many countries have no IHT at all e.g. Austrlia, Norway, Canada, New Zealand, Israel and many US states either don't have it or have it really high rates.
I guess the Tories may just increase the threshold for all assets upto say £2m that way they can pretend it’s not for the super rich, like Rishi and his missus.
Tories are desperate to find a smoking gun to fire at Lab. This will be it. Plus something to hold back the Lib Dem’s in the Home Counties.
Cost will be I think only around £5-7bn