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Going to be painful....
Newbie
Posted: 30 August 2024 17:26:28(UTC)
#51

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Robert D;317549 wrote:
Newbie;317541 wrote:

My casing point - let it fall !
Then customers regulators and normal people can go through the courts after the likes of Adam Applegarth AND if there is a public outcry, then the government can set up courts and go after all the directors and key people setting an example and a message to the city that this what you can expect if you act recklessly.

!



Maybe they should have let it go bankrupt in the case of NR. The problem is the domino effect and the other banks start to fall one by one.

It's not generally realised how close the UK came to meltdown in 2008. RBS and HBOS were within hours of a liquidity shortfall on October 6 and 7, according to Bank of England governor Mervyn King.

“Two of our major banks, which had had difficulty in obtaining funding, could raise money only for one week, then only for one day, and then, on that Monday and Tuesday, it was not possible even for those two banks really to be confident they could get to the end of the day, ”he said

Again, are you seriously suggesting the Brown government should have let them fail?


If the bloody world could see that our two major banks were a pile of excrement, then what does it say about the government which could not ?

Governments are not there to prop up institutions unless they are publicly owned !

If they wanted to help they could have nationalised it fully and helped out those who had a mortgage with said institutions and covered them with FSCS limits. Shareholders could get stuffed and employees who acted recklessly could also be sent a clear warning.

Ordinary hard working people would have been saved years of agony in the form of austerity !

Instead Brown just gave the bankers a wad of money to carry on at the casinos, bars, and gentlemans clubs. The city was flush with money, drinks flowed, staff partied and the frenzy went on.

In fact senior bankers were telling staff to get the wealthy clients to maximise on their lending facilities ie you have a mortgage of £300k but your facility is for £750k - take it and both, you as clients have cheap money to invest, and and I as a banker get my bonus - that is the reality for the wealthy - contrast that to the hardworking poor whose mortgage had come up for renewal - sorry we cannot lend to you as you do not meet the criteria set by the government !

So which is the greater evil, the government which opened to doors for abuse or the bank which has been given guidelines around the manner in which to carry out the abuse.


2 users thanked Newbie for this post.
Guest on 30/08/2024(UTC), stephen_s on 30/08/2024(UTC)
Robert D
Posted: 30 August 2024 17:42:59(UTC)
#52

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Newbie;317562 wrote:


Ordinary hard working people would have been saved years of agony in the form of austerity !



Austerity was a political choice by Cameron and Osborne. They didn't have to do it
1 user thanked Robert D for this post.
Guest on 03/09/2024(UTC)
RT7
Posted: 30 August 2024 17:53:57(UTC)
#70

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UK Banking sector contributed £41bn of tax revenues in FYE23, c£39bn in FYE22. I think that's direct corporate tax, not including personal taxation of employees.

Only a couple of banks (NatWest etc) were supported by bail outs.

Its difficult to imagine how our society - private individuals (free bank accounts / card payments / direct debits / standing Orders etc..) or corporates (working capital / payment processing / debt etc) etc etc would survive if banks did not exit ?



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Sara G on 30/08/2024(UTC), Guest on 03/09/2024(UTC)
Newbie
Posted: 30 August 2024 17:55:34(UTC)
#53

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Robert D;317563 wrote:
Newbie;317562 wrote:


Ordinary hard working people would have been saved years of agony in the form of austerity !



Austerity was a political choice by Cameron and Osborne. They didn't have to do it

What you choose to ignore is the fact that there would have been no need for it had the decisions prior to it had factored in the potential outcome.
In much the same way of handing out free monies during the pandemic rode up asset prices and lead to a huge spike in inflation.

I suspect your path to reasoning is that the government could have just printed more monies and the problem solved - if that is that case then why shout and keep saying that there is a £20bn black hole. It could be fixed with turning the printers back on as Brown did in the GFC ! Why do you need to increase taxes and why do books need to balance at all.
4 users thanked Newbie for this post.
Robin B on 30/08/2024(UTC), Jay P on 30/08/2024(UTC), stephen_s on 30/08/2024(UTC), Nigel Harris on 31/08/2024(UTC)
Robin B
Posted: 30 August 2024 18:11:18(UTC)
#72

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MMT... Keynsianism on stilts. Debt doesn't matter, nor do interest payments of £350,000,000 per day and rising. Until the whole thing collapses...
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Jay P on 30/08/2024(UTC), Newbie on 30/08/2024(UTC), stephen_s on 30/08/2024(UTC), Nigel Harris on 31/08/2024(UTC), dlp6666 on 01/09/2024(UTC)
Sara G
Posted: 30 August 2024 18:52:48(UTC)
#56

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Newbie;317565 wrote:
Robert D;317563 wrote:
Newbie;317562 wrote:


Ordinary hard working people would have been saved years of agony in the form of austerity !



Austerity was a political choice by Cameron and Osborne. They didn't have to do it

What you choose to ignore is the fact that there would have been no need for it had the decisions prior to it had factored in the potential outcome.
In much the same way of handing out free monies during the pandemic rode up asset prices and lead to a huge spike in inflation.

I suspect your path to reasoning is that the government could have just printed more monies and the problem solved - if that is that case then why shout and keep saying that there is a £20bn black hole. It could be fixed with turning the printers back on as Brown did in the GFC ! Why do you need to increase taxes and why do books need to balance at all.


Robert has a point here. Austerity was a political choice IMO, just as the current government's decision to increase taxes in particular ways is a political choice. At that time the Conservatives still held onto the notion of fiscal responsibility, and by nature they preferred to control spending instead of raising taxes, especially at a time of economic difficulty. I can see the logic, but the counter argument is that they should have spent (in the sense of public investment, not indiscriminately) to support the economy. As to how they would have approached this, rather than full-on MMT I expect it would have been a case of increased borrowing, assuming there were willing counterparties at that time. It's possible that there would have been a Truss moment (or worse), however. Also, added to the subsequent borrowing during the pandemic, we would arguably have been in an even worse state now in terms of the public finances.
5 users thanked Sara G for this post.
Newbie on 30/08/2024(UTC), Rob B on 30/08/2024(UTC), Rookie Investor on 30/08/2024(UTC), Martina on 31/08/2024(UTC), waterland on 01/09/2024(UTC)
Robert D
Posted: 30 August 2024 19:32:47(UTC)
#54

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Newbie;317565 wrote:

What you choose to ignore is the fact that there would have been no need for it had the decisions prior to it had factored in the potential outcome.

- if that is that case then why shout and keep saying that there is a £20bn black hole. It could be fixed with turning the printers back on as Brown did in the GFC ! Why do you need to increase taxes and why do books need to balance at all.


Cameron and Osborne saw the GFC as a chance to shrink the state - Conservative ideology.. You've got it right at last - there is no "black hole". and there is no need to balance the budget either. Historically, governments never have.
1 user thanked Robert D for this post.
Shaun Fletcher on 01/09/2024(UTC)
Newbie
Posted: 30 August 2024 19:52:55(UTC)
#55

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Robert D;317569 wrote:
Newbie;317565 wrote:

What you choose to ignore is the fact that there would have been no need for it had the decisions prior to it had factored in the potential outcome.

- if that is that case then why shout and keep saying that there is a £20bn black hole. It could be fixed with turning the printers back on as Brown did in the GFC ! Why do you need to increase taxes and why do books need to balance at all.


Cameron and Osborne saw the GFC as a chance to shrink the state - Conservative ideology.. You've got it right at last - there is no "black hole". and there is no need to balance the budget either. Historically, governments never have.

So why all the media milking and we need to raise taxes ?
Why is there a need to state the obvious that the last lot left behind a huge defecit / black hole - after all as you allude to it is irrelevant (as hole or no hole makes no difference)
I know that no government has or can balance the books - yet we being mugs still vote for them and listen to how they plan to balance and sort out the defecit.
If I am being pedantic why did the old Labour chancellor (even as a joke) need to mention that there is no money ? Especially if there if no need to balance books or worry about money.
In fact what do we need a chancellor for ?
3 users thanked Newbie for this post.
Jay P on 30/08/2024(UTC), Guest on 30/08/2024(UTC), Nigel Harris on 31/08/2024(UTC)
Rookie Investor
Posted: 30 August 2024 20:36:39(UTC)
#73

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Quite clearly there is a limit to how much deficits can be, and similarly debts too. But in theory we can be in debt perpetually, and even at an increasing amount.

Think of your mrotgage on your home. If you live forever, you can keep releasing equity forever, as prices continue to rise. It is sustainable as long as you can service the debt, which will usually mean your incomes will rise.

The economy rises over time, usually with bumps along the way, and sometimes these bumps are so big that the debts can be a problem.

The GFC was a banking crisis. Incredibly complex and interconnected. There were many parties to blame. Do you plame the regulators? Politicians who put the regulators in charge? Bankers who created the leverage in the system without care of the risks iinvolved? Rating agencies who were paid to over inflate the true credit quality of sub prime? The strippers and unemployed who thought it was ok to borrow money on ARM mortgages?

The basic issue with banking is lending out long term with short term deposits. Time after time we get these banking crises and it is usually this lend long term borrow short term that causes these issues. GFC was based on this but made 10000x worse because complex derivatives were involved, everyone was doing it and it was so interconnected that it was hard to see there was a problem until there was (although some people saw it and made out like bandits - the people in finance not surprisingly).

The GFC was a major turning point. It was the start of a period where growth rates in the economy were not at all assured. Debts needed to be carefulyl managed. Banks became much more risk averse despite all the QE programs and bank recaps. Argulably we are sitll in this era today albiet perhaps with higher inflation.

If governments decide to go into surplus, it'll have to come out from somewhere else, either the hosuehold sector or corporate.
9 users thanked Rookie Investor for this post.
Taltunes on 30/08/2024(UTC), You have to change your life on 30/08/2024(UTC), Jay P on 30/08/2024(UTC), Sara G on 30/08/2024(UTC), stephen_s on 30/08/2024(UTC), Newbie on 30/08/2024(UTC), Martina on 31/08/2024(UTC), Nigel Harris on 31/08/2024(UTC), Tim D on 02/09/2024(UTC)
You have to change your life
Posted: 30 August 2024 21:14:21(UTC)
#74

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Google Earth has a lot to answer for.

For making it evident to everyone that all the money in the world could not purchase one hundredth of the world's surface.

In that respect, QE can go on for the rest of the century. And then some.

Something for the doom mongers to think about.

2 users thanked You have to change your life for this post.
Jay P on 30/08/2024(UTC), Newbie on 31/08/2024(UTC)
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