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Harry Trout's Portfolio
mark spurrier
Posted: 20 March 2021 08:38:41(UTC)
#31

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I am a bit perplexed as to how to treat stats that include the interesting times we have been living in. It has thrown up some real outliers eg BG American on the positive side.
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Harry Trout on 24/03/2021(UTC)
Harry Trout
Posted: 24 March 2021 16:27:38(UTC)
#32

Joined: 08/06/2014(UTC)
Posts: 1,012

Added to $FUTU holdings modestly at $102.70 after sustained falls of late and particularly today on a wider sell off of Asian growth names.

$FUTU has some big supporters - Tencent, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Renaissance

Analysts forecasting 371% increase in earnings from 2020 to 2022

A volatile stock no doubt so I will not be allocating too much to this but I think I have one more round of dry powder for a further big drop if it comes .........

1-2% position size limit.
Bulldog Drummond
Posted: 24 March 2021 18:06:39(UTC)
#34

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Interesting thread. I would also share concerns about HL equity as their services are very expensive and in my experience their customer service is crap, not a good combination. I think I read somewhere that they had 80% margins, so there will be no shortage of firms looking to eat their lunch. Obviously they have been a great investment to date.
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Harry Trout on 24/03/2021(UTC)
bédé
Posted: 24 March 2021 20:02:34(UTC)
#35

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mark: "I am a bit perplexed as to how to treat stats that include the interesting times we have been living in"

I am a bit perplexed as to how to treat stats that exclude the interesting times we have been living in.
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Tim D on 24/03/2021(UTC)
Bulldog Drummond
Posted: 24 March 2021 20:16:16(UTC)
#36

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bédé;161041 wrote:
mark: "I am a bit perplexed as to how to treat stats that include the interesting times we have been living in"

I am a bit perplexed as to how to treat stats that exclude the interesting times we have been living in.


"Should a person on returning from the city discover his house to be in flames, let him examine well the change which he has received from the chair-carrier before it is too late; for evil never travels alone."
- The Career of the Charitable Quen-Ki-Tong
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Aged techie on 27/03/2021(UTC), bédé on 21/04/2021(UTC)
Harry Trout
Posted: 06 April 2021 16:49:28(UTC)
#37

Joined: 08/06/2014(UTC)
Posts: 1,012

London Stock Exchange Group LSEG. There was a sustained dip on this stock following earnings released a few weeks ago - I have been tracking it to try to time an entry.

There was a decent reversal candle last week in the weekly view, see chart below.

Opened a new position today at £73, would add more on further drops. Decent earnings growth for the price but still not cheap.

I like these kind of compounders for the long run but on the other hand I may just trade it "Peterson style" !!

London Stock Exchange
Fibby Nacchi
Posted: 08 April 2021 16:05:15(UTC)
#38

Joined: 08/04/2021(UTC)
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Good looking balanced portfolio with a mix of stocks over a range of sectors and geographies. Just noticed that you did not include and European stocks. I have been watching Tesla's wild ride over the last year and was wondering if this is just a flash in the pan or something more systematic. I just don't have the guts to invest in the stock but was hunting around for healthier and less volatile alternatives. Spent some time looking at the other car manufacturers and decided that Daimler was a more prudent bet. A quality old fashioned manufacturing brand with a new electric tinge. Stock has been doing well but not spectacularly....so more in my risk/reward range. Not sure if this will fit with anyone's idea of a Tesla replacement but the stock imaybe worth a look...

Daimler chart

[img=https://drive.google.com/file/d/1QLd-DCeSlNahopAZJ2qJHb6RXjftAP5l/view?usp=sharing]Daimler Chart[/img]

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Harry Trout on 09/05/2021(UTC)
Harry Trout
Posted: 20 April 2021 14:32:25(UTC)
#33

Joined: 08/06/2014(UTC)
Posts: 1,012

Harry Trout;161019 wrote:
Added to $FUTU holdings modestly at $102.70 after sustained falls of late and particularly today on a wider sell off of Asian growth names.

$FUTU has some big supporters - Tencent, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Renaissance

Analysts forecasting 371% increase in earnings from 2020 to 2022

A volatile stock no doubt so I will not be allocating too much to this but I think I have one more round of dry powder for a further big drop if it comes .........

1-2% position size limit.

Added modestly to $FUTU Futu Holdings again on the drop today at $151.80. Price falling following a surprise secondary offering overnight.

Would buy a little more on further weakness but I don't want to own too much of this volatile stock. However, it's been fun so far!

Using a mainly quantitative approach, I am now going to have a go at setting price targets against my purchases of individual stocks. My 1 year price target for $FUTU is $195 ........
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mdss68 on 21/04/2021(UTC)
Harry Trout
Posted: 21 April 2021 08:14:55(UTC)
#39

Joined: 08/06/2014(UTC)
Posts: 1,012

I have been gradually selling down my Lindsell Train UK Equity OEIC position this year and it will soon fall out of my top 10.

My reasons for this, in order of importance are:

1. I prefer to hold ITs now and FGT Finsbury Growth & Income Trust is available as a replacement. I would rather own FGT now if I want exposure to Nick Train, I do own some FGT (1%) but haven't added since July 2020.

2. I own Diageo, Fevertree, Unilever, London Stock Exchange and Hargreaves Lansdown directly and I'm comfortable doing this so there is no point paying a fee for Nick Train to manage them, he doesn't rotate investments.

3. I feel that a number of the holdings are at a reasonably full price, London Stock Exchange a possible exception that I am happy to hold direct.

4. The fund always underperforms my benchmark VWRL

I can also see me selling down Diageo, Fevertree, Unilever and Hargreaves Lansdown in time too, they are all on my selling watchlist due to long term underperformance to VWRL.

Anyway today I sold the largest chunk of Lindsell Train UK Equity so far.
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Mr Helpful on 21/04/2021(UTC)
bédé
Posted: 21 April 2021 08:51:18(UTC)
#41

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EDIT 20/04/21 - Renamed this thread "Harry Trout's Portfolio" from "A Concentrated Portfolio"

Hey, how did you do that?

I once made a serious grammatical error in a title and thought I was stuck with it forever. The shame! A simple typo, no problem.


But apart from that, your thread is a bit like watching paint dry. Come on! Make it a bit more exciting.
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