Joined: 05/01/2016(UTC) Posts: 11,046
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smg8;193634 wrote:King Lodos;193598 wrote:
I think if there is an art to buy-and-hold active fund investing, it would be doing what you're doing – identifying tomorrow's Fundsmiths and at least rotating a bit into them.
I always say Fundsmith isn't the same fund it was when it was an 1/8th the size .. And I dumped SSON pretty early, because by the time it IPOed, it wasn't a small fund anymore (I think the plan on paper was the right one).
I'd say Blue Whale's proving it's got an edge in size and agility so far .. I always recommend reading online investment journalism from the previous bull market (15 years ago), because all the Fundsmith and SMT equivalents being talked about back then became this era's IFA-favourite closet trackers .. And it's because they all get a reputation, they all get too big, and they all become cash-cows so long as they avoid ever appreciably underperforming .. So there's an incentive not to stray far from the market
Interesting, I have always (since first finding the forum) tried to keep your "do something different" approach in mind, that's part of what kept me away from FS for so long in the first place. Blue Whale is a bit too much a of a bet on US mega cap tech for me to see it as a true Fundsmith competitor in the traditional sense of the word (65% of the fund in tech and communication services). But maybe that is indeed what the future is with digital disruption permeating all aspects. In the same way TS thought compounding would come from consumer staples 10 years ago, Yiu thinks it is going to come from ASML, Nvidia, Atlassian etc. The Blackrock fund is $500mn ish, and the Carmginac one a tiny £54mn. And I'd say broadly speaking away from this forum (and even in parts of this forum) no-one has ever heard of either fund, compared to Fundsmith or Lindsell Train. I assume all these funds (certainly Blue Whale) have a fairly high turnover .. So in the case of Blue Whale, it could be long-term conviction bet, but these hedge fund guys can change their minds fairly quickly. I like that at the moment, because the way inflation goes from here probably dictates everything .. I'm sometimes pulled up for quoting "Everything's a bet on inflation" – and it is: long duration vs short, growth vs value, stocks vs bonds, cash vs gold, US vs Russia. So, whether smaller funds can adapt to where things go or not, I think the large funds are much more likely to be fixed bets – being that it's much more expensive and much slower to reposition .. The advantage as a retail investor is you can turnover a portfolio in 3 minutes (where a fund might take 3 weeks)
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