John Bran;335375 wrote:VH Global
10% dividend
Hardly high risk.
Ignore the discount to NAV.
10 year gilt 4.5% obviously classed as zero risk.
In my opinion the market has not got the risk reward balance accurate.
This type of Irrational behaviour can only last so long.
Keynes
"Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent"
Is not particularly accurate when you are not geared, in fact I can sit on a growing dividend of 10% for longer than the market can stay Irrational.
Well... when you get past the huge amount of fluff in the most recent (interim) report the CONDENSED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME For the period 1 January 2024 to 30 June 2024 shows an enterprise in decline. With the condensed STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION, assets that are depreciating, the value of which is difficult to assess. And which would depend on buyers materialising.
Looking forward, there are questions over energy prices and competition from non-renewable sources in the light of Trump focus on oil, and especially if a ceasefire in Ukraine leads to relaxation of sanctions on Russian exports.
Dividend cover is 1.1% and there's not much scope for renewing / replacing / adding to the existing wasting assets. Suggesting that they either have to cut the divi or borrow money in future? Or simply continue with the pf until the end, presumably with increasing maintenance costs as assets age?
All of which might account for rational investors quitting the scene?