ben ski;330350 wrote:Newbie;330348 wrote:ben ski;330343 wrote:Newbie;330342 wrote:L&G Global 100 - OEIC
I do think there's a lot of recency bias in that choice, and this has to be a decision you can stick with.
We've got a century in which small-cap value, equal weight, etc. far outpaced large-caps. We've only got a few years of this current trend – and the higher it goes, the more opportunity there should be anywhere else.
Do you have a "simple" small-cap fund that shows this ?
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-asset-class-allocation?s=y&sl=6BuaELL5JCljT46oZsj57r Thats all good and "theoretically" correct but can you show me a simple fund which someone can invest in and potentially leave alone
I looked at - the following which people could have invested in
Fund Inception Return since inception
L&G Global 100. 2002 357%
Vanguard Global Small Cap 2009 356%
iShares Global 100 2000 343%
So whilst this is within 25 years and thus your point correct, it forgets the fact that despite suffering 2 of the catastrophic downturns (Tech and GFC) large caps pulled back whilst small caps started at the favorable position just after the GFC.
The major small cap fund around 2000 was the old F&C Global smaller companies which lags behind somewhat
Interesting your analysis was with US equities only.
The visualizer with your dates also shows that
Gold was better than the US stock market as a whole with a smoother ride.
REIT's even better
That is the same saying that a UK property was even better - especially as I bagged a 4x in October after investing in 2009
Realism has to play a part somewhere